Synthesis and Conceptualism

 

According to a certain historical perspective , social progress is derived from the aftermath of the conflict of two opposing ideological forces.  When the thesis of the status-quo is challenged by its antithesis, through their conflict, the new contradictory ideal, the synthesis eventually arises. 

The synthesis often sounds like facing a logical contradiction at its emerging state: This is something neither A nor no-A by means of the mathematical logics.  However, such as in mathematics, there are several elements like something neither A nor No-A when their fundamental criterion such as mathematical axiom varies their existence.  For instance, where the real numbers R (A) and 0 (0R), the nothingness of A (zero R i.e. No-A), exist, there are the infinity (R (A) divided by 0R: Their composition becomes neither R nor 0R) as well as the complex number (the root of negative R transforming it to neither R nor 0R) by the mathematical rule based on the axiom. The mathematical axiom verification enables their existence.

In terms of social science and ethics (political philosophy), this statement holds whereas the pure reasoning based on the pure logics without the ethical principle often neglects focusing on the synthesis because it is imply judged as contradiction. By contrast, by following the ethical principle as an individuals' guideline leading themselves by correcting their pathway, it may eventually guide them to something optimum to achieve their ethical ideal.

It does not have to be perfect as their pathway can be fluctuating and often deviating from their guideline principle. Nevertheless, it is important for not only politics and social ethics but also each individual's business and career plan to stick to their initial motivation and life-long dream. Whenever there is an exogenous force or an endogenous change caused by natural phenomena and/or oppressive antagonistic forces, the guideline principle corrects their pathway. 

 

It is neither the realism (accepting the reality as it is) nor the idealism (expecting the perfect ideal state to be accomplished): It is the conceptualism offering a feasible concept in the terrestrial world even it is not perfect as what the idealists claim for. Individuals' pathway in their own private life and their social activity participation can be drifting in their imperfect shape. However, this imperfection encourages these individuals to discover their own optimum way to make them happy while referring to the ethical principle as their guideline.

Overall, human society must keep evolving to tackle with various issues challenging individuals and their surrounding environments. The external transcendental super-being such as one called the unmovable mover, our creator, God, or something else in someone's own language defines the existing terrestrial beings as imperfect to encourage them to exert their own power of solving their problems and improve themselves as well as their surrounding environments with their own struggles.  At the same time, it defines some criteria required for survival and improvement which are taught and retained as the wisdom for a relative long term. Thus, the concept based on discovery and wisdom may work as a hint for individuals to achieve the transcendental synthesis of their social interests.

The paradigm of the crypto-currency market changed 180 degree since about a half decade ago.

Very interesting for me! When I read a blog "The text book for being rich (Ironic name as the author says lol )" more than a half decade ago, I learned that Bitcoin could be a new alternative to Gold because of their similarities such as the supply limitation determining their price. However. the paradigm of the crypto-currency market changed 180 degree since about a half decade ago.

The supply of Bitcoin has the diminishing return because the supply is determined the overall CPU capability of all the computers participating in this blockchain network.  In another word, it cannot be simply printed of thin air like the fiat-currencies.  Therefore, these market participants used to think that, even though these crypto-currencies do not have their own precise physical forms, they were thought as though they had it. Therefore, many professionals including the author of this book suggested to treat the crypto-currency as an inflation hedge. 

Nevertheless, the paradigm has drastically changed since various other kinds of the crypto-currencies were introduced to the market so that Bitcoin has become far less scarce as it used to be since then.  Instead of the supply scarcity, the speculative demand has started to be far more influential on the crypto-currencies. 

The price inflation goes up when the capital market is heated up with extra confidence in investment more than saving. By contrast, the market falls into the deflation when the confidence goes down so that the market participants start preferring much safer assets than the volatile crypto-currencies.  Therefore, the crypto-currency value change is recently positively correlated. 

All in all, the correlation between the crypto-currencies have suddenly and drastically changed from negative to positive!   

 

Re-evaluating Charles De Gaulle

 

The first president of the fifth republic of France Charles De Gaulle is indeed a remarkable figure having led France to maintaining her stead economic and political position as an autonomous modern developed nation as well as a key European Union (EU) member state with her significant influence on the entire union. Yet, his policies were often controversial and received some negative feedbacks from various political factions including socialists, those supporting more Anglo-Saxon style free market socioeconomic policies, and the former French colonial states. At the same time, not only French citizens but also EU citizens would not be able to keep having their influence over the world politics without the current French political power having been grown since De Gaulle administration. While France is currently on the verge of determinig her future pathway. 

After enormous fatigues and scars of wars and the loss of French colonies after the World War II (WW2), France has lost her influence and power as a sovereign state in the world. The United State of America (USA) rose up as the newly arising super power together with her strong ideology of liberal democracy and capitalism. At the same time, the United Soviet Socialist Republic (USSR) also strengthened their influence and power over the world politics with their hardcore socialist ideological principle. France selected the alternative of being France as a unique state prevented from becoming a loyal satellite state of neither the USA nor the USSR.  Thus, France needed her own strength of being as independent influential modern state as well as leading the newly formed union of European nations, the EU, in the world politics. Charles De Gaulle thus determined to implement a unique controversial policies attempting to deserve the majority French and EU citizens. 

 

- Controversial interventionist economic policy

Firstly, De Gaulle administration decided to keep the market economy itself whereas it adopted the state's positive intervention to it as well as a high proportion of the state's owned public sector firms. In another word, France selected a pragmatic choice not ideologically being tied to a particular socioeconomic policy like a staunch dogmatic socialism or an Anglo-Saxon style wild capitalism.

There are some negative effects of the contemporary French economic policy. A government may have mistake of judging how the business cycle moves to determine the degree and the characteristics of their intervention. A huge market share of the state ownership of various industrial categories such as manufacturing industries and financial industries hinders a spontaneous economic growth based on the active and fair competition. 

Nevertheless, for the contemporary France, it was inevitable to install such an economic policy to enable French own national brand by protecting it from losing to a competition with their strong competitors such as the USA, Japan. and neighbouring West-Germany. It is equivalent to the development dictatorship adopted to some contemporary emerging developing nations such as Singapore and South Korea. Although France was already a developed Western nation, she was under a constant threat of losing her initiative in the world economy. Therefore, France was required to have a strong intervention lead by one rational public authority gathering a group of educated and experienced elites to conduct her national economic policy planning as same as these emerging developing nations.

 

- Independent Nuclear Research and Development (R&D)

As the contemporary period, those satellite nations of both the USA and the USSR implemented the joint R&D of their nuclear technology with their suzerain either the USA or the USSR. The USA was the first nation invented the nuclear power generation and weapon, and the USSR followed to invent their own ones (although some have argued it could be their self-proclaimed). 

Charles De Gaulle has insisted on proceeding the own nuclear technological R&D led by French government and higher educational institutes because he had predicted that owning France's own nuclear technology will be the key to take the initiative in the world politics. Furthermore, nuclear power generation provides both France and the entire EU with the far more efficient alternative electricity generation to the conventional electric power generations. This initiative has encouraged France to take a lead of the EU as the main supplier of the electricity. 

Regarding this nuclear R&D, there has also been strong negative feedback especially from the anti-nuclear advocates and the former French colonials. De Gaulle administration tested their nuclear bombs in their former colonial lands which hugely disappointed the indigenous citizens there. Moreover, their own R&D with their own effort certainly involved the victims of the radioactive pollution of the nuclear accidents.  There is an inevitably high risk of nuclear contamination permanently harming the health of these individuals while testing and repairing their nuclear apparatus and clearing the radioactive mess. 

On the other hand, in terms of the health hazard risk per electric power generation, with comparison to the conventional fossil fuel based thermal power generation, the nuclear power generation is relatively far less harmful for individuals. For example, the ratio of individuals' health hazard risk per electric power generation is way higher for the counterpart fuelled with fossil fuels. In addition, France would have had to import a massive amount of fossil fuels from abroad which would perpetuate France's dependency on the other nations. 

By contrast, France has prevented herself from being reliant on and easily manipulated by foreign nations after securing her own self-reliant electric power generation source. All in all, even with high financial, environmental, and ethical cost, the benefit paid off for France is substantially higher. In another word, the fundamental political decision of De Gaulle administration accomplished "The greatest sum of pleasures with the lowest sum of pains as the principle of moral and legislation". 

Having observed these examples of De Gaulle administration, the achievements and the assets of De Gaulle administration are undoubtedly remarkable despite controversies.  The EU needs France for various French advantages including the economic and political initiative backed up by her own nuclear technology available to offer for the EU.  Also, France needs the EU membership with a huge initiative to use the EU as her leverage of expanding her economic and political influences as a key member with a high initiative there. De Gaulle administration initially paved this pathway to enable both France and he EU to secure their initiative. Hence. under such a current political havoc, it may be productive to recall and re-evaluate Charles De Gaulle and his achievement.

 

Explaining how expensive electricity is in Japan: Explained with the case of paper business

Especially after having turned nuclear power plants in Japan off since the last nuclear accident in Fukushina in March 2011, electricity in Japan is considerably expensive.  Even before then, it was expensive compared to the other countries because of its relatively heavier reliance on the thermal power plant fuelled with fossil fuels imported from abroad. 

It is difficult to explicitly display how expensive it is in Japan because there are so many variables to be compared with the significance of the electric power price influencing an economy there. So, one industrial case is introduced here to explain how significant Japanese electric price is as a significant variable cost incurred upon this industry.  This is paper manufacturing introduced here as an explicit example

Pulp is the base raw material of papers manufactured by a paper machine. Paper manufacturing needs cellulose fibres obtained most notably from woods. The more expensive finer alternative material can be cotton.

There are mainly two methods of producing pulp: chemically processed one and mechanically processed one.  The chemical pulping process uses chemicals and heat to convert woods into pulp meanwhile the mechanical pulping process grinds woods by mechanically defibrating wooden fibres into pulp.

The price of chemical components tends to influence the chemical pulp price whereas the usage volume of machinery consuming the high-volume electricity affects the mechanical pulp price. Supply of the chemical materials is often volatile and requires their characteristics of quality to match a particular level for pulping.

The mechanical pulping is not so prone to the conditioning as much as the chemical counterpart. Electricity is electricity whatever and whenever it is produced. The general specification of these pulping machines is not extensively dissimilar to each other in this world. 

In terms of the ordinary world situation, the former is more expensive than the latter, so the proportion of which pulp content to use determines the quality of papers as follows:

• 上質 (directly translated as "high quality") : "Fine" paper/pulp: Chemical pulp 100%
• 中質 : Medium quality": Mix of chemical pulp and mechanical pulp.

However, this is the way around in terms of Japanese paper & pulp business. The latter can be more expensive than the former despite their naming. This is because the latter requires to consume higher-volume electricity while their pulping processes. This factor indicates how expensive electricity generated in Japan even while taking the volatile chemical supply and price into consideration.

Having observed this paper business case, Japan is indeed urged to increase a far more efficient method of generating electricity overall. This current high electric bill price suppresses both business growth and individuals' utility by squeezing their household budget as an unavoidable cost for these activities. 

Nuclear power generation should be reactivated at least to repress the currently already intolerable cost inflation.  Perhaps, the research and development (R&D) inventing a new technology allowing Japan to fundamentally overcome from the high electricity generation cost is worthwhile to implement even its feasibility is questionable for the time being. 

The imaginable example is the nuclear fusion possibly enabling to supply the electricity satisfying the total demand of the entire Japan maybe even by replacing all the other existing electric power plants. It can be rather more productive to invest into efforts and time into increasing this feasibility to accomplish building this functional nuclear fusion power plant. 

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I consider that the nuclear power technology should be considered as a public good so I claim for the integration to a good government management or at least the civic-cooperative management looked after by several private individuals (The Classical Economics) rather than the current administration by one single private gigantic corporation detached from the fair market competition!

Well, this nuclear management industry has such a humongous economic of scale whose competition is nearly infeasible. So, I recommend either the full integration (the cohesive monopoly under a single public body such as government) or a cooperative management (classical economics example: democratically managed by several individuals living in this community)

Two legends both named Immanuel: Pluto opposition to Sun v.s. Pluto no-aspect

The Pluto-aspect characteristics of the astrological natal chart are often discussed inside our astrological circle. In particular, the natal aspect of Pluto forming the opposition to the natal light (Sun/Moon) and the counterpart of Pluto without any aspect (called no-aspect) have been mentioned in separate blog posts.

As this time, it can be a time to post an essay comparing these two Pluto aspects in one article. Coincidently, there are two historical legends called by the same name Immanuel to compare by means of these two natal chart-aspects.

• The former is Jesus Christ (called Immanuel while his childhood just after his birth) who was endowed with his natal Pluto forming the opposition to his natal Sun.
  • Please note that it refers to his controversial birthday 25th December of the first year of the AD regardless of its historical accuracy because it refers to his well-known personality as a protagonist character in a quasi-fictional story.
• The latter is Immanuel Kant, one of the most remarkable and influential modern philosophers in the world, was endowed with his natal Pluto forming no-aspect with his other natal signs.

Both are the legend historically famous enough to leave precious assets in this world so that they are useful examples of showing the contrast of these two Pluto aspects, the opposition to the natal Sun and the no-aspect.

Although both have equally remarkable qualities, their characteristics and their fates are notably different. This characteristic difference between these two legends is an interesting and explicit example showing the characteristic difference between the Pluto opposition and the Pluto no-aspect.

Immanuel Jesus Christ with his natal Pluto opposition became an eternal divine sovereign known by almost all individuals across the world and loved by his followers at his contemporary period onward. His life was dramatic with his unimaginable challenges and ended with his unavoidable fate.

It is suspected that every individual with a deep interest in academic subjects including such as history, law, philosophy, politics, and public sector economics must know Immanuel Kant and his academic works. Most of these theories having existed after his contribution contain his footprints. The progress of accumulating his fame was slow but was steady and became significantly notable at the end.

In terms of the fame, Christ was far superior to Kant. However, Kant’s merit and contribution to the terrestrial world were far more prevailing than Christ’s counterparts. Rather than Christ himself, his ardent followers made Christ famous through writing the New Testament and orally persuading people to remind Christ’s doings. By contrast, Kant put his own efforts for establishing himself to make him famous at the end.

Regardless of individuals’ interest of something particular, nobody may be unable to avoid listening to Christ’s name while living in the world of human civilisation. Christ was unconditionally loved and hated while he was alive. His painful fate haunted through his terrestrial life, but he was deeply blessed with the celestial supremacy’s protection.

Individuals’ knowledge about Kant might be really limited even though they are living in the current world under Kant’s heavy influence. While his youth, he was quite distant from an excessive emotional attachment with others because he enjoyed his organised, quiet, and simple life style whilst making his perseverant efforts on his story and innovation. His social status was not so remarkable while his youth although his social status suddenly became ultra-remarkable when his academic works were finally recognised by the authority and the mass in his relatively elder period.

To sum up, the contrast of these two legendary quality lifestyles well depicts the characteristic difference between the Pluto opposition and the Pluto no-aspect. Pluto represents not only authority but also the mass support and the effect of Pluto generally appears either extremely intensively or extremely incompletely. Christ had been not only haunted but also blessed by the extreme intensity of Pluto meanwhile Pluto’s influence over Kant shifted from null to extremely effectual. 

 

Pour l'europe unite, je suis d'accord avec vous, monsieur! 🙂 Vive l'europe! :D 😃🇪🇺

 

Pour l'europe unite et le monde, je suis d'accord avec vous, monsieur! 🙂 Vive l'europe!😃🇪🇺

 

Can't afford to lose to that 16-year-old boy ~~~~! :P

I wonder if Abhigya Anand's prophecy will be true by tomorrow. Perhaps my prophecy (the economy declines on the 5th ⇒ the stock prices actually fell) is stronger.

Both JPY and the crypto are plunging!

 

In addition, ..... sigh, JPY is also plunging rapidly! :(   JXY is the index of JPY based on the multiple currencies. 

The correlation betweeen currency value based on JPY vs the great circle distance from Kiev, Ukraine

 

 

I have been surprised at how much depreciated Japanese Yen (JPY) against the other currencies has been already.  However, I have realised that the appreciation of each currency by means of JPY is different.  I have guessed that the appreciation rate is lower as the region using this currency is closer to Ukraine where the conflict with Russia is ongoing.  Therefore, I have regressed these FX rate based on JPY with the natural log of their great circle distance from Kiev minus 6.6, and the coefficient is as predicted as shown this graph.

Data from Mizuho Bank: https://uranaisearchastrology.files.wordpress.com/2022/04/2021-2204_fx_mizuho_dist.xlsx

JPY negative interest rate i.e. the inflation tax!

JPY holders are now experiencing the negative real interest rate steadily depreciating our real income, sigh. 

Interest rate r_US > r_Jp. ∴ Money Demand: MD_US > MD_JP
Furthermore, I detest the current Japanese interest rate policy. Usually, the nominal interest rate  is supposed to rise to offset the price inflation rate (ΔP) to keep the real interest rate (r - ΔP: what actually influences the money value held by the savers and the national debt investors) zero at lowest to make it fair and functional. 

The severe problem of Japan is that the current real interest rate for JPY is "negative (-)" which substantially discourages the money demand as well as reduces the real income value (income value depreciated by the price inflation). This is called the inflation tax because the price inflation works as though it were the tax imposed by government allowing the central bank to issue the excess money supply causing the price inflation depreciating the income. Because the inflation rate equally affects all individuals holding JPY, this is indeed a regressive tax (taxing proportionally more to the poorer but less to the rich)!!!!!

The reason why JPY interest rate has neither been raised nor seemed to rise soon is that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is neglecting the interest rate rise despite this inflation. Actually, the Japanese government reject raising the interest rate because it is more likely to trigger the potential bankruptcy caused by their national debt interest payment overwhelming their budget. ......... thus, JPY holders are now literally experiencing the negative real interest rate steadily depreciating their real income.

Some very rich famous people must have predicted this world economic situation since ages ago. He's accumulated physical gold ingots in his own safe. The current world situation is really dodgy! ... under such a chaotic world situation, I'm thinking of you, my dear friends. Praying for safety of you and your family.