Revival of Bitcoin and the other crypto markets in 2025

 

Recently, the value of all the crypto currencies has been substantially plunging as the NASDAQ stock exchange value, correlated to the crypto market, declines. Someone has started claiming this is the beginning of the twilight years of the crypto market.  However, there are still various positive predictions inferring the reincarnation of the crypto market within a few years. 

The notable example of the positive attitudes toward the crypto currency is El Salvador having adopted Bitcoin functioning as the legal currency officially circulating in this country. In such one of the LDCs (Least Developed Countries), the infrastructure for accessing the banking services is considerably lacking so that the citizens there suffer from the significantly high financial and physical costs. Furthermore, their dependency on money transaction by people working as immigrant workers from these LDCs in the developed countries such as the USA is very high. At the same time, the transaction across the border incurs substantially high costs including the foreign exchange fee and the banking service charge for these people. The crypto currencies such as Bitcoin have a notable advantage of reducing these costs as explained in the following chapter.

This advantage of introducing the crypto currency is similar to that of introducing a mobile/smart phone in the LDCs. Because of the lack of the infrastructure such as accessible bank branch offices, telephone lines, and public transportations, the benefit of the wireless transaction via the internet is huge. The IT (Information Technology) assisted services do not need these traditional physical infrastructures requiring a huge public work project for their installation. In addition, there are less market entrant barriers for the IT assisted service providers than the developed countries with the market monopoly/oligopoly by the already established providers of these traditional infrastructure. Therefore, these LDCs gain more net benefits of the public welfare as well as the fast speed of its installation. 

As various analyses of both modern economics and astrology have predicted, the wealth gap among countries will shrink due to the technological development. These characteristics, such as equality and innovations, are represented by the wind element in terms of the Western and Indian astrology. The coming age of wind which has already started from 2021 when both Jupiter and Saturn crossed the ascendant of Aquarius. Its transformational speed is going to be furthermore accelerated from 2023 when Pluto starts crossing the ascendant of Aquarius for two decades. 

Moreover, the characteristics of the wind elements will be exaggerated from 2025 when Uranus, whose own sign is Aquarius, starts crossing the ascendant of Gemini (Another wind sign) and forming the triangle aspect with Pluto crossing the ascendant of Aquarius. 2025 is also the year when Neptune shifts from crossing the ascendant of Pisces to the Aries counterpart so that Neptune is going to start simultaneously forming the sextile aspect with both Uranus and Pluto. This means that all these three trans-Saturnian planets form the aspect together in the masculine signs. 

Regarding the crypto currencies whose characteristics, such as innovation, electricity, borderless-ness, and spontaneity, can be represented by Uranus. In 2025, Uranus is going to shift from crossing the ascendant of Taurus, Uranus's detrimental sign, to crossing the Gemini counterpart stimulating Uranus's own strength far more than Taurus. This will be the remarkable signal that the crypto currencies will be appreciated furthermore than this current time period that Uranus is still crossing the ascendant of Taurus while it is still forming the square aspect (The hard aspect) with Saturn, representing such as society, established structure, and tradition, crossing the ascendant of Aquarius, Saturn's own sign stimulating Saturn's strength. This connotes how severe the position of the innovative products based on the spontaneous order without without a centralised organisation such as the crypto currencies. Therefore, the ongoing value depreciation of the currencies at the moment seems to be astrologically inevitable but temporary. 

Focusing on Neptune in 2025, it might infer a possible big scale natural disaster occurring sometime close then. When a trans-Saturnian planet shifts to start crossing the ascendant of Aries, a major natural disaster often tends to strike. In particular, as it is Neptune, it might be something oceanic whilst neither exact timing nor exact scale is predictable. In 2025, Neptune forming the sextile aspect with both Uranus and Pluto crossing the ascendant of the wind signs implies that this natural disaster will trigger to convince people to recognise the importance of something innovative and spontaneous such as the crypto currencies.

This astrological prediction might explain that the advantage of the crypto currencies will be more recognised especially after such a catastrophic event caused by a major natural disaster. When physical infrastructures are damaged, the money transaction via the crypto currencies may be able to help to save this suffering areas and people there. The reason is the same as the example seen in the LDCs where necessary infrastructure for the traditional banking system is scarce.

All in all, the current crypto market downturn must be temporary even it may take one year or two to recover from it.  Many people are often afraid of and sceptical about something innovative and difficult to explain with a clear visible picture which they are not familiar with in their daily life. They are just over-reacting this temporary plunge despite the long term potential. Hence, it is nonsense to panic to preach about the doom's day of the crypto currencies and their market. 

Libertarian, the metaphysical radical

 

Libertarianism is well known political philosophy promoting the high degree of freedom in both the economic scale and the social scale of the Political Compass. In another word, Libertarian is known to be the economic right wing and the social left wing. While Libertarian reveals a remarkably unique characteristic in terms of politics, it also takes a notable position in terms of the philosophical spectrum. Libertarian perspective of the subject of philosophy called metaphysics is in an extreme side of its spectrum.

Metaphysics focuses on how and why the world is constructed and structured as well as how human individuals' actions and minds take place, are influenced by, and affect the others and the world. The spectrum of the metaphysical perspectives is spread between the determinism and its opposition. 

The extreme side of the determinism regards that individuals' mind and their action derived from it are purely dependent on the outside influences. Therefore, there is only one world so that there is no such a thing as a parallel world while the fate determines how the world and individuals living there. In such a view, the free will of individuals is irrelevant to exist because their mind and actions derived from it are simply determined by means of the complex flow of the world and its fate. 

Most of the philosophical perspectives accept there is some degree of freedom from the determined factors, which allows to change the predetermined outcomes to a certain extend within restriction imposed by fates and inevitability. Despite many inevitable factors determining their minds and actions limiting individuals' free will over their life and surrounding environment, there are still non-determined factors available to change with their will. 

Even politically radical theories stand on somewhere between these two sides of the metaphysical perspective. The notable materialist political philosophy Marxism describes that individuals' minds and actions are predetermined by means of the historical inevitability even though it highlights the emerging will of the proletariat class individuals. Owing to this theory, individuals' minds and actions are not quite derived from individuals' free will. These individuals will of changing their living condition is derived from their material needs and wants, which have been suppressed through the history, rather than the proactive free will. 

On the other hand, Libertarianism defies this materialist view because it regards highly of the free will of autonomous individuals which stimulates individuals' minds and actions instead of their frustrated material needs and wants.  It also explains that their free will is detached from the influence of either their material conditions or the externally derived factors. By means of its theory (regardless of its feasibility in real), the will of all individuals is free and independent from their material as well as externally influences. Therefore, each individual has her/his own influencing power over their life, their surrounding environment, and their destiny.

Libertarians also challenges another materialist theory called Capitalism although they are often categorised into the identical political spectrum. The material Capitalism affirms that their self-proclaimed objective factors such as the market force derive individuals even though they are politically free. Under Capitalist philosophy, individuals are stimulated by the material profitability in the market force. 

By contrast, Libertarian claims for a freedom from such a materialist motive even if it may incur the loss for gaining something more than their instant materialist gain which they pursue for their own unique purpose. Libertarians cling to a freedom to live independently from not only the political cohesion but also from the market force if it does not deserve their will. 

Moreover, Libertarianism is radically spiritualistic despite its strong social and moral political principle. What Libertarians call the free will is nothing more than a spirit, the non-physical element forming individuals' characteristics, not highly dependent on their physical conditions or any outside materialistic influences. In an individual's mind is completely independent from the materialistic influence, there must be some non-physical element driving this individual. This is often called spirit in general.

As similar to religious/spiritual thinkers, Libertarians believe in and count on the power of  spirit which they call the free will, which may eventually enable them to alter the shape of their personal traits as well as their world environment.  However, there is a notable difference between Libertarianism and the majority religion/spiritualism. Libertarianism avoids agitating the mass individuals with a superstitious belief because it leaves a room for each individual to think of their own belief within their own mind. Furthermore, the distinctive spiritual thought of Libertarianism is that each individual spirit lives in each detached own spiritual universe so that it is totally different from a conformist type of spiritualism which many religions are based on. 

Libertarian word view describes that each parallel world universe exists per each autonomous individual's will so that the infinite number of the parallel worlds as the products of these free wills thus exists. Libertarian perspective insists on the extreme side opposed to the determinism. It explains that the world is the product of the complex interactions of actions and minds derived from the free wills of individuals.  In another word, the unlimited number of the parallel world exist due to the  complex entanglements of the multiple interactions of the free wills. 

All in all, considering the Libertarian perspective, Libertarian distinctively rejects any theory describing individuals will is reactive to the deterministic forces. In reality, majority of Libertarians tend to compromisingly admit that there are still various obstacles preventing individuals' will from fully controlling themselves and their surroundings such as their naturally limited capability and compatibility as well as unpredictable spontaneously occurring events. 

Nevertheless, they still keep the radical metaphysical view, fundamentally regarding highly of the power of each individual free will, as their fundamental principle of their philosophical thought.   Their fundamentalist perspective is radically opposed to the metaphysically determinism so that Libertarianism certainly stands on the edge of the metaphysical perspective spectrum. 

Hence, Libertarians are perhaps the most metaphysically radical thinkers among all the philosophers when it comes to metaphysics.

 

Crypto currencies based on the Block-chain technology e.g., BItcoin and the P2P networking are like Stirnerism in economy and finance!

 

The crypto-currencies are recognised as a double-edged blade for economy; it will stimulate economy with its innovative force whereas it also disturbs economy by challenging the already established stable system.  A famous astrologist has warned that these crypto-currencies will face a huge catastrophic shock in their market. 

It might be called an anarchist revolution in the world economic and financial systems. In particular, Stirnerism can be explained as the blockchain P2P network like Bitcoin. 

 

Frankly speaking, Stirnerist socio-political structure can be compared to the network of the blockchain like the one used in the cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin.  This network system does not have any central server monitoring the entire system as a control tower.  

Instead, each individual computer calculates and verifies the interactions and actions among the community utilising this network system.  This is called the peer to peer (P2P) network where their application architecture is distributed among these individual computers.  These individual computers participate in their tasks and workloads as the peers.  The privilege and the equipment are equally distributed among these peers, and there is no authorities overriding their rules of activities. 

Like this P2P network, Stirnerian socioeconomic model requires the high competency level of all individuals participating in its socioeconomics. Like the P2P computer network system, all the participants must have a reasonably high specification level to cooperatively sustain the entire network structure. Each individual must be knowledgeable about the fair judgement and aware of their self-responsibility of contributing to their public goods and services (I.e., the free ride must be prevented with the best effort).  

 

The P2P network system of both the blockchain and Stirnerism face the identical characteristics of their challenges. This P2P system still need to tackle issues of managing of data serving and access authentication.  Establishing an centralised system is efficient to store and serve the collectively used data, services, and public goods because maintenance can be concentrated on the limited places.  By contrast, the P2P network requires all agents to share the same responsibility of maintaining, managing, and updating their quality of what required to prop up this whole entire system.  

 

In the past when the information technology is not developed as much as nowadays, there has no civilisation having succeeded in establishing such an individualist mutualist anarchist society like Stirnerism even for a short time period.  This is simply because it was unimaginable.  By contrast, Stirnerism has become imaginable to establish to the certain extend by comparing the socio-politics with the hard scientific technology since the introduction of the blockchain and its P2P network. 

There is an expectation that engineers and scientists develop the current P2P network system to transform it to the more efficient and manageable alternative. This innovation expected in the future will be beneficial to continue this currently ongoing revolution of decentralising the structure of both the information technologies and political science.

Stirnerism: The most theoretically completed but the least feasible political philosophy

 

Max Stirner is a political philosopher who invented the idea and the logical construction of individualistic anarchism. This essay comprehensively refers to his political philosophy as Stirnerism. Stirnerism is a unique theory which challenges not only the other non-anarchist political theories but also all the existing anarchist theories. At the same time, Stirnerism seems to be the most theoretically completed but the least feasible political philosophy to implement in real.

In terms of the mainstream political analyses, the establishment of anarchist state falls into either the communism rejecting the private property right and the monetary economy or the survivalist capitalism where none provides the re-distribution of the wealth even when the monopoly oppresses the mass. By means of the feasible policy implementation, it is more likely to end up with resulting in such a state. Stirnerism attempting both protecting the private property right and preventing the wealth monopoly by few.

Stirnerism claims for relinquishing not only the hereditary monarchy and aristocracy but also the nation state itself as well as the entire legal system propping up it. This is the characteristics shared with the other forms of anarchism.  In contrast to other forms of anarchism, Stirnerism distinguishes itself from the contemporary anarchism by insisting on preserving the private property right for each individual and the market economy as a form of their freedom of exchange and choice. It appears each individual's own right to materially deserve her/himself and their own natural desire and own freedom of choice as one of its fundamental principles. Stirnerism regards that the existence of nation state government hinders individual freedom and right instead of protecting them.

 Stirnerism also claims for preventing the monopoly by few hijacking the pure free market economy to protect majority individuals' right to enjoy their freedom and right. In another word, it insists on discouraging another form of government, such as a monopolistic corporation and an organised criminal faction, monopolising both economy and society. This is what John Maynard Keynes thought of with the government positive intervention by reforming its governance instead of abolishing it. By means of economic and social policy, Stirnerism and Keynesian share the similar quality despite their complete characteristic difference. 

To accomplish these Stirnerist attempts, the existence of the cooperative which is sustained by each individual's voluntary contribution to a public administration. The efficient and fair administration of public goods and services will be the key to accomplish Stirnerian deal which is identical to Keynesian policy. Stirnerism replaces nation state government with an alternative operatable form of governance without a nation state, which is the spontaneously established cooperative by the voluntary union of individuals.

This problem which this public sector model based on the cooperative faces is that it requires the high competency level of all individuals participating in its socioeconomics. Like the P2P computer network system, all the participants must have a reasonably high specification level to cooperatively sustain the entire network structure. Each individual must be knowledgeable about the fair judgement and aware of their self-responsibility of contributing to their public goods and services (I.e., the free ride must be prevented with the best effort).  

Instead of one or few authorities commanding the majority to do what they have got to do in their daily life, the majority mass have a lot of responsibilities as an exchange for their freedom and right.  These mass individual must be enlightened enough to look after themselves and be knowledgable and responsible about forming a contract with the other individuals.  In another word, individuals have to be aware of themselves as social beings who are responsible enough to accomplish their social duty as their exchange for living there with their autonomic freedom and right. 

Overall, having taken these issues into consideration, Stirnerism sounds really ideal whilst it also sounds a lot of works to implement in real. More than the other political philosophical theories, it requires almost all individuals participating together to be enlightened enough to understand  and fulfil the required specification necessary for Stirnerian P2P style social contacts.  Perhaps, some future technological advancements may provide individuals with the solution to enable it to be feasible. Hence, it is still challenging to put Stirnerism into practice in real world even though it is still a very attractive as well as interesting theory worth considering for its implementation.

ETH plunging

I have once though that the depreciation of ETH has been caused by the entire crypto market situation. But, as I suspected the faster depreciation rate of ETH, I had a quick research on the endogenous cause of ETH depreciation. 

I found out that the ICO (Initial Coin Offering) demand has substantially dropped this year so that Ethereum's demand itself is now experiencing a massive fall out. 

By referring to a certain YouTuber's advice in his channel, I switched the majority of my ETHs to BTCs as there is still a growth expectation of the blockchain business and the crypto currency technology. 

I left only a few ETHs in case Ethereum may recover to the certain extend. However, I suspect the entire alternative (crypto) coins including ETH and the other emerging crypto currencies will keep facing a plunge at least for a few days. 

 

Tolerating Uselessness

The article entitled "Useless" was posted last time. Its attempt was to prove the uselessness should not treated as a sin and it can actually be a virtue with reference to Taoist teaching. This is an emerging crisis labelling individuals to ostracise them with the useless label, which Prof. Yuval Harari has warned of in his book "21 lessons for the 21st century". Taoism is indeed innovative enough to appreciate the uselessness and the lack of the conformity required for industrial socioeconomic structures. This project is designed to be a salvation for individuals labelled as useless as well as non-conforming. 

The current socioeconomic structure has become more capital intensive than the past. Employees and clients tend to require individuals to be equipped with multiple high skill-sets demanding money and time as well as their talents including efforts, innate abilities, and fortune to be in a right environment to achieve it. It has become materially more convenient with remarkably rapid technological innovations deriving the microeconomic advantages for firms and fortunate talented individuals. By contrast, the rest majority individuals are less likely to enjoy their microeconomic advantages while losing the equality of the opportunity to increase their income, seek better employment, and drastically improve their lifestyle.

The emerging crisis of labelling individuals as useless does not only take place in Capitalism but also in Socialism which regards highly of bearing social responsibility for all individuals. As a matter of fact, Socialism insists on participating in increasing the productivity and individuals' conformity to achieve it more than Capitalism because its productivity is demanded for deserving the whole society. Therefore, the problem of the social exclusion can be intensive in Socialism where none can be free to isolate themselves from conforming to their society. 

Almost all the political and moral philosophies having existed in the world regard of uselessness as the negative characteristic of individuals. They also insist that individuals should bear their responsibility for being non-conformists themselves without seeking supports from other individuals and society. These philosophies affirm there is a socioeconomic model with its standard which individuals are ought to comply with to achieve what they regard highly of. 

By contrast, Taoism is extremely unique as a political and moral philosophy adapting a tolerant perspective in its political and moral philosophy. The element of these academic subjects is intensively the Yang 陽 (light) kind claming for consistency, good-will, order, and perfection. When individuals and their society too much cling to accomplishing what these academic subjects insist on, it disturbs the balanced harmony of the natural world because the Yang 陽 element becomes excess. In order to maintain the balance, it requires to accept the Ying 陰 (shadow) element representing ambiguity, necessary-evil, passiveness, and, most importantly, tolerance. 

Perhaps, the socioeconomics had better focus more than usefulness for achieving their material prosperity and the philosophical and moral perfection. It had better re-evaluating the importance of slowing down the unbalanced growth among individuals and their living environments as well as tolerating the imperfection of how individuals and their society shape themselves. Instead of expecting all individuals to comply with their standard, the socioeconomic should rather take account of the factor that there are individuals unable to either be useful for the society standard or conforming to the social structure. 

All individuals are endowed with something necessary to be born in this terrestrial world by birth although nobody can be sure what it really is. It is extremely arrogant to judge an individual as no worth to live in the world as though someone were pretending to be the creator often called God pleaching. Uselessness in the terrestrial world has the use which is unable to be known by means of the mainstream terrestrial human standard. There are still several matters in this terrestrial world nature which human individuals do not yet know. 

On the other hand, there is an advantage for individuals to be useless. It means that they are less likely to be exploited than those who are treated as useful. Taoism refers to a tree with a distorted shape having survived without being chipped off as a resource. The existence of a tree is already helping to supply oxygen by its photosynthesis and taking a part of the dynamic natural environment. Furthermore, as explained in Taoism, this distorted shape can be comfortable to lean onto to be relaxed with. Judging from this story, an individual labelled as useless and/or non-conforming should be proud of her/himself instead of feeling miserable or giving up her/his life.

Having considered these matters, the tolerance seems to be the key to accept individuals labelled as useless. Instead of either abandoning them being excluded from the society mainstream or forcing them to conform to the socioeconomic standard, it might be feasible not to artificially fix the problem so promptly. As Taoism teaches, individuals had better lean how to be passive to the freely flowing spontaneous natural flow of how their surrounding environment changes. Moreover, everyone should be proud of themselves without being either arrogant or miserable. All in all, useless is just one shape existing in the natural world so that it has its own freedom to exist.