Monday, February 19, 2018

Power of Logic



Many human individuals tend to rely on their experiences and cultural-traditions as the base of their decision making processes and the measure of social justice. These measurements are based on what have happened in the passed, and these individuals following this method tend to implicitly assume their past events will repeat in the future as similar to the past.

Of course, human individuals may be only able to acquire their knowledge used for their analytical inference is highly limited to what they have already known. Nevertheless, their decision making process for their personal life choices and social justice in their living environment exists to create the path for individuals leading them to their desirable pleasant future instead of limiting their imagination to the past events and experiences having already happened.

Then, there needs to be a principle tool enabling individuals to stimulate innovative actions and estimate their future outcomes, and this ought to be a logical inference. For example, mathematical logical analyses enables individuals to imagine the existence of zero and infinity as well as abstract formulae, complex numbers, other various mathematical notations.

Knowing there are infinitely small and big scales in our living nature infers there is always a possibility of discovering an unknown characteristics in both much bigger or smaller scales than it has ever been discovered. Mathematical logic expresses something abstract which does not exist to measure substances existing in the real nature such as complex number. But, an invention of this abstract has enabled individuals to use this abstract as a tool for helping their thought process to create a highly innovative output.

The disadvantage of logical inference is that there is no objective measurement which can self-evaluate the validity of a process and a conclusion of logical inference like mathematical axiom. Someone may use logic just for a mere intrigue purpose to convince others for some personal interest. Someone may use an unpleasant criteria basing logical inference which can be irrational, scientifically false, or utterly unproductive, and this logical inference guides other individuals and their environment to these unpleasant paths.

There are some philosophers claiming there ought to be a universal principle guiding logical inferences to prevent individuals falsely following a path deviating from their believing path. By contrast, there is a counter-argument suggesting that it is highly risky to hypocritically assume there is a universal principle basing logical inferences. Even though this universal principle sounds good and looks like functioning, a good intention does not always induces a good desirable outcome. It should leave some freedom of choices for individuals for testing their own hypothesis and compete with each other unless it considerably harms others in an unfair way.

While hedging for any potential risk of failure, bets by logical inferences should be carried on in order to invent creative ideas and productive solutions. Finding an interaction of things will lead to find something new by discovering a core element of an interaction of ideas and things. Union of ideas and things will lead to a new alternative something. Abductive reasoning will lead to discover an unexpected relation of many things.


*** Please kindly read my following essay for your further understanding about my emphasis on logical analyses and inferences. ***

- Read Ethical Principles explained by Mathematical Logic Pt1


- Read Ethical Principles explained by Mathematical Logic Pt2

- Read Ethical Principles explained by Mathematical Logic Pt3

- Read Ethical Principles explained by Mathematical Logic Pt4

Sunday, January 14, 2018

Bitcoin/Cryptocurrency V.S. Fiat-Currency

Fiat-currency issued by central-bank/government has its solid physical form whereas the cryptocurrency does not. However, the mechanism of how this cryptocurrency works is closer to the original concept of currency

These cryptocurrencies cannot be excessively printed more than the market demands for the sake of the monopolistic organisation such as central-banks, governments, and big corporations aided by them.

The problem of cryptocurrency is that it requires the technology and the mining capacity of computers across the world to back up with. It is still not convenient for everyone enough to frequently use in our daily life yet.

Monday, January 08, 2018

New Moon Diagramme, 2018

My astrologist friend taught me that this chart based on the new moon diagramme is the proper chart to use for the forecast whenever we forecast events taking place in monthly and yearly basis. My previous post about 2018 new year forecast showed the chart at 00:00 on 1st Jan., 2018. But, this is not precise to show the aspects of these signs together. Whenever we estimate a relatively long term scenario, it is essential to use the new moon diagramme of this month (Moon is the new moon on 17th Jan, 2018) instead of 1st of the month because a chart based on the new moon diagramme indicates beginnings and causes of the events happening in the long term.



There are several aspects of these signs to focus on this month and this year.

- Jupiter and Neptune form a triangle: The financial market is prosperous so it is stable until this November.

- Uranus forms a square with the rights (Sun and Moon): There is an alarming of reforms although hesitation and obstacles against these reform may easily arise.

- Pluto forms a square with Uranus & Saturn is crossing the ascendant of its own sign Capricorn: The aforementioned reforms will be prevented in favour of conservativeness propping up the status-quo.

All in all, there will be a lot of controversies and frustrations emerging meanwhile implementation of these reforms will be postponed.




Thursday, January 04, 2018

Two problems of handling Bitcoin and many other cryptocurrencies

The problem of actually handling Bitcoin is that each transaction takes approximately 10 minutes.

There are other cryptocurrencies which take less time to transact.

However, the other critical problem of all these cryptocurrencies is the security of securing their account.

As it is the electronic form as well as it is operated in the cyber connection, it is critically prone to the cyber hacking.

The improvement by means of these two problems (Loading time for transaction and security for holding an account) is still demanded in order to disseminate a cryptocurrency furthermore.

Sunday, December 31, 2017

2018 New Year Forecast: Conservativeness, Unintelligibleness, and Cryptocurrency

1. Introduction
There have been so many incredible and unexpected scenarios taking place in this world these years. The development of the economic and political globalism seems to stagnate. The management of both nation-states and corporations also seems to struggle as they tend to be directed to the undesired consequences such as perpetually accumulating deficit and losing their ethical path. Many economic and political administrators have whispered that these events are unexpected and incredible.

Nonetheless, this world is at an ethical and technological transitional period which many have not explicitly realised. The globalisation will continue advancing although their advancement is temporarily stagnating due to the current fashion of majority individual's preferences. The picture of the financial economy will be furthermore diversified due to the drastic transformation of the world monetary system.

2. Astrology: Conservativeness and Unintelligibleness

This is the astrology chart of 1st January, 2018. The main focus on this chart is the position of Saturn and Neptune which will significantly affect the characteristics of this year. Individuals will experience the deep characteristics of the postmodern nihilism during this time period.


3. Saturn and Capricorn: Conservativeness
Since last 20th December, Saturn has started crossing the ascendant in Capricorn, and Saturn stays in this position for approximately 3 years. Capricorn is Saturn's own zodiacal sign so that the effect of both Saturn and Capricorn will be remarkably strong. This implies that the trend of conservativeness is emphasised and people focus more on the local and micro level of their life than the global and macro level. Furthermore, both Saturn and Capricorn represent patience and responsibility so that the perseverance of individuals for living in their life will be tested.

Economy requires firms to set their conservative rather than expansive management style to overcome from economic recession. Individuals prefer putting priority on developing and improving their local environment to the global counterparts. Those who maintain their responsibility and patience in their daily life will be rewarded well whilst those spending their extravagant life style and abandoning their responsibility in their daily life will be punished.


4. Neptune and Pisces: Unintelligibleness
Neptune is still crossing the ascendant in Pisces, and it takes approximately 8 years from now to finish crossing there. Because Pisces is the own zodiacal sign of Neptune, the characteristics of both Pisces and Neptune have influenced and will influence for 8 years from now. The characteristics are ambiguity, mystery, and spirituality. At this time period, various information flows tend to be inconsistent and decision making processes are hard to be stabilised. Then, many logical predictions are easily undermined due to various obstacles of obtaining information sets, and individuals often put priority on emotional opinions rather than logical and rational opinions during this period.

During this period, individuals lose their trust in many academic and financial analyses because most of these analyses are unable to provide them with a consistent and accurate estimate due to the current chaotic situation of the information flows. By contrast, fictional writing and preaching self-enlightenment will be popular and successful. Fictional writers do not have to be responsible for the conclusion of their stories because they are fictional so neither related to nor affecting the real world situations. Self-enlightenment provides individuals with their ability to self-evaluate their own life by admitting everyone's life style is different from each other so that it is not necessary to indicate a stable consistent solution for everyone.


5. Bitcoin and the other Cryptocurrency: Initial Coin Offering (ICO)

Rise of Bitcoin has surprised and influenced individuals in the entire world. It looked like showing the replacement of the current world monetary system from the scratch. Many individuals once predicted that Bitcoin and any other cryptocurrencies would not be so popular because they were too complex to utilise. Nevertheless, they were suddenly surprised at the sudden rise of the share of Bitcoin in 2017, and many have regretted of not having bought it.

Although it was a clever and reasonably profitable action to have purchased Bitcoin and/or another major cryptocurrency, it is unnecessary to regret of not having done so because the bubble of their share will end soon. Unlike the currency issued by a central bank, the money supply of Bitcoin and any other cryptocurrency is limited by their mining capacity. The mining capacity is the total capacity of the entire computers in this world for spending their memories and calculations for trading with Bitcoin or another cryptocurrency.

The future prediction of cryptocurrency is that they will be used for the asset investments like bonds and stocks more than the intermediary of exchange. This phenomenon has already taken place and it is called Initial Coin Offering (ICO). Venture businesses can join the market using one cryptocurrency or issue their own cryptocurrency to increase their share if they have the level of technology to do it. When these ventures become successful, the value of this cryptocurrency is appreciated so investors may purchase this cryptocurrency as the means of their investment.

Many venture businesses have struggled to invite investors from the world due to the regulation imposed by nation-states' government and a groups of big corporations which restricts these ventures from issuing their bonds and stocks. By contrast, cryptocurrency is out of reach of this kind of regulation because it takes place in the globally connected decentralised environment. This innovation offers ventures with attracting prospective investors from all over the world.


6. Conclusion

This year and these coming years will be a tricky time period that both conservative characteristics and innovative characteristics are revealed simultaneously. The small sized businesses and regional activities will be a big fashion trend. At the same time, the style of globalisation will be transformed from connecting big organisations with each other to connecting small institutes with each other in the global level. Many major academics and financial analysts will be challenged by this era of chaotic information flows, and individuals are expected to set their own life plan and estimates in their own daily life without relying on the others.