Recession in 2024

 

The major recession is coming in 2024 for certain by means of both the international financial analysis and the astrological analysis (from the later half of 2024)! In terms of the international finance, the short-term United State (US) bond interest rate is higher than the long-term counterpart now. This infers to forecast the economic outlook of a few years ahead is worse than the one at the recent time period. In terms of the astrological analysis, the square aspect of Jupiter and Neptune has almost always triggered the world gross domestic product (GDP) decline. This is econometrically experimented in my own research.

The current interest rate hike of the US and the Western European central banks is recently notable due to the ongoing price inflation pressure. However, the long-term (3 to 5 years) rate still stays low, and this implies the low growth of both the GDP representing the combination of both the price inflation and the production output level in a few years ahead. This phenomenon has almost always taken place approximately 2 years before the world-wide recession strikes owing to the financial statistics. Therefore, it is most likely to have the recession in 2024.

The modern Western astrology denotes the aspects of Jupiter and Neptune combined representing the financial flow. Jupiter represents expansion and wealth whilst Neptune represents ambiguity and flash-flood. Therefore, the combination of what each of these two plants represents indeed explains the financial market. The soft aspects such as the triangle 120 degree and the sextile 60 degree tend to induce the reasonable financial wealth growth whereas the hard aspects such as the opposition 180 degree and the square 90 degree tend to induce hard challenges for the financial wealth creation.

When the world GBP (US$ base) is regressed on three explanatory variables based on trigonometric functions, their correlation shows that astrological representation actually holds as it explains! The first explanatory variable is based on the equation of the cube root of 1 minus two times the modulus of 0.5 subtracted by the modulus of the cosine. This variable is maximised at the 60 and 120 degrees whilst it is minimised at 0, 90, and 180 degrees. The second explanatory variable is the modulus of the sine which is maximised at the 90 degree square aspect. The third explanatory variable is simply the cosine which is maximised at the 0 degree conjunction whereas it is minimised at the 180 degree opposition. 

All these three coefficients' confidence levels are above 90 percent. The third variable's correlation was mild whereas the conjunction aspect is positively correlated while the opposition aspect is negatively correlated. The first variable's correlation is slightly below 95 percent which is still convincing. It seems to be difficult to use the 95 percent confidential interval to determine the confidence level by using such a relatively rough fluctuant indicator like the world GDP level.  Then, using the 90 percent confidence level is worth off to be used for the alternative measure. 

The most intensive and interesting result is the second explanatory variable's correlation which is above 95 percent with its negative correlation with the dependent variable, the world GDP! By means of the statistical inference, this can conclude that this is certain to happen in the future when this correlation takes place. Thus, this is certain that the world GDP declines when Jupiter and Neptune from the square aspect which is going to take place in 2024.